Carmen Pagan
There are approximately 9 people named Carmen Pagan living in the United States today. That makes this name combination very rare, occurring at a rate of about 1 in 38,083,815 Americans.
This estimate combines SSA birth records for the first name Carmen with Census Bureau frequency data for the surname Pagan. Below you will find a breakdown of both names, including popularity trends, gender data, and Census demographics where available.
Expected bearers
9
1 in 38,083,815
Named Carmen
110K
Alive today
Named Pagan
28K
Alive today
US population
343M
Denominator
Estimated living: 110K
Rarity: Common
Gender: Unisex
Peak year: 1961
Average age: 47
Top Census group: Hispanic or Latino (72.8%)
Estimated bearers: 28K
Rarity: Uncommon
Census rank: #1,445
Per 100K: 8.04
Top ancestry: Hispanic (85.5%)
First name trend
Carmen: popularity over time
Year-by-year SSA birth registrations for the first name Carmen. The peak year was 1961 with 2,622 births. The average person named Carmen today is 47 years old.
Babies born per year
Demographics
Ancestry and ethnicity for Carmen
Self-reported race and ethnicity breakdown for people with the first name Carmen, from the 2020 US Census Bureau first-name tables. The largest published group is Hispanic or Latino at 72.8%.
The bar chart below shows how people with the first name Carmen described their own race and ethnicity on the 2020 Census form. These are self-reported numbers, and they describe the population who happened to carry the name Carmen at the time of the Census. A first name does not determine a person's race or ethnicity.
- Hispanic or Latino72.8% · 172,977
- White17.6% · 41,838
- Black or African American6.2% · 14,637
- Asian and Pacific Islander1.9% · 4,552
- Two or more races1.2% · 2,843
- American Indian and Alaska Native0.4% · 904
Ethnicity
Ancestry of the Pagan surname
Self-reported race and ethnicity breakdown for people with the surname Pagan, from the 2020 US Census Bureau. The largest group is Hispanic at 85.5%.
The bar chart below shows how people with the surname Pagan described their own race and ethnicity on the 2020 Census form. These are self-reported numbers, and they describe the population who happened to carry the surname Pagan at the time of the Census. A surname does not determine a person's race or ethnicity.
- Hispanic or Latino85.5% · 20,544
- White10.7% · 2,569
- Black or African American2.3% · 544
- Two or more races0.8% · 188
- Asian and Pacific Islander0.6% · 152
- American Indian and Alaska Native0.1% · 23
Methodology
How we calculated this
The first name Carmen has a living-bearer frequency of 0.0320% of the US population, based on 109,578 estimated living Americans carrying this first name (from SSA birth records going back to 1880, adjusted for mortality using CDC life tables).
Even though the Census Bureau now publishes first-name tables, we do not use that file as the main first-name input for this estimate. The latest first-name Census snapshot is from 2020, which makes it 6 years old today. Because Census first-name data is only released once every 10 years, SSA birth records plus CDC survival rates give a better current estimate of how many people are likely alive with the name Carmen right now.
The surname Pagan appears at a rate of 8.04 per 100,000 residents in the 2020 Census Bureau surname file, which translates to a frequency of 0.0080%.
Multiplying these two independent frequencies against the current US population of 342,754,338 gives an expected count of approximately 9 people with the full name Carmen Pagan. This assumes statistical independence between first and last names, which is a simplification but produces reasonable estimates for most combinations.
Related
Other people named Carmen
Related
Other people with the surname Pagan
FAQ
Carmen Pagan: questions and answers
How many people are named Carmen Pagan?
We estimate approximately 9 people in the United States share the full name Carmen Pagan. That works out to about 1 in 38,083,815 Americans. This is calculated by combining the first-name frequency (0.0320%) with the surname frequency (8.04 per 100K) against the current US population.
How rare is the name Carmen Pagan?
We classify Carmen Pagan as "Very Rare". About 1 in 38,083,815 Americans share this exact first and last name combination.
Is Carmen a male or female name?
Carmen is predominantly unisex. Out of 158,841 total SSA registrations, 10.6% were male and 89.4% were female. See the full Carmen profile for detailed gender data.
Where does this data come from?
First-name data comes from the Social Security Administration's national baby name files (1880 to 2024). Surname data comes from the 2020 US Census Bureau decennial surname tables. Living-bearer estimates use CDC actuarial life tables to adjust for mortality. Read the full methodology.
How many Americans are named Carmen Pagan?
For a faster, more casual read, check HowManyOfMe.org — our sister site built around that single question.